Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Genoa
22.0%
Draw
16.7%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Genoa
vs
0.83
Pisa
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).