Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.8%
Cittadella
26.4%
Draw
61.7%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Cittadella
vs
1.60
Genoa
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-2
14.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-3
7.8%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
0-4
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
2-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).