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04 May 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.2%
Monaco
14.7%
Draw
9.1%
Clermont

Expected Goals (xG)

2.44

Monaco

vs
0.70

Clermont

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.0%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
0-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
5-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).