Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Walsall
22.9%
Draw
21.3%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Walsall
vs
0.95
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).