Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Morecambe
24.2%
Draw
41.7%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Morecambe
vs
1.49
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).