Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.4%
Boavista
15.9%
Draw
76.7%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Boavista
vs
2.46
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.5%
0-3
11.1%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
6.8%
0-0
4.9%
1-4
4.4%
0-5
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
1-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).