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26 Oct 2024 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.1%
Lech Poznań
22.1%
Draw
21.8%
Radomiak Radom

Expected Goals (xG)

2.15

Lech Poznań

vs
1.29

Radomiak Radom

Markets

BTTS64.9%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
3-2
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).