Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Brentford
31.9%
Draw
21.1%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Brentford
vs
0.72
Charlton
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).