Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.3%
Bayern Munich
8.2%
Draw
3.5%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
3.60
Bayern Munich
vs
0.71
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.593.1%
Over 2.580.4%
Over 3.562.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.5%
4-0
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
5-0
6.8%
4-1
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
5-1
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
1-1
3.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).