Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Crawley Town
27.7%
Draw
45.4%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Crawley Town
vs
1.26
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).