Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Benevento
34.0%
Draw
29.3%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Benevento
vs
0.90
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.7%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.6%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).