Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Hoffenheim
21.4%
Draw
12.9%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Hoffenheim
vs
0.80
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).