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01 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.1%
Cercle Brugge
24.1%
Draw
26.8%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.31

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS61.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).