Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Cosenza
31.0%
Draw
38.1%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Cosenza
vs
1.21
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).