Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Getafe
27.6%
Draw
21.0%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Getafe
vs
0.81
Almeria
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).