Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Karpaty
29.2%
Draw
28.0%
Veres
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Karpaty
vs
0.97
Veres
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).