Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Avellino
26.7%
Draw
53.4%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Avellino
vs
1.66
Palermo
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
5.8%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).