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AHT: 02

14 Sept 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.5%
Zorya Luhansk
31.1%
Draw
30.4%
Kolos Kovalivka

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Zorya Luhansk

vs
0.94

Kolos Kovalivka

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).