Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.3%
Stockport
15.2%
Draw
10.5%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Stockport
vs
0.81
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.1%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-0
3.4%
0-1
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).