Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Rochdale
25.7%
Draw
28.9%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Rochdale
vs
0.98
Swindon
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).