Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Valencia
29.6%
Draw
23.3%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Valencia
vs
0.82
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).