Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Port Vale
24.1%
Draw
21.9%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Port Vale
vs
0.91
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).