Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.6%
Spezia
20.5%
Draw
68.9%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Spezia
vs
1.87
Roma
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-2
15.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
0-4
4.5%
2-1
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).