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13 Apr 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.9%
Leeds
18.3%
Draw
6.8%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Leeds

vs
0.50

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS35.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.3%
1-0
14.7%
3-0
11.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
7.7%
4-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).