Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.1%
Galatasaray
14.4%
Draw
3.4%
Denizlispor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Galatasaray
vs
0.53
Denizlispor
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
3-0
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
6.9%
0-0
5.2%
5-0
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).