Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Plymouth
18.6%
Draw
26.8%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Plymouth
vs
1.57
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS70.7%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.554.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).