Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Gillingham
31.5%
Draw
41.2%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Gillingham
vs
1.02
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS33.8%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.552.9%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.6%
0-0
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).