Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.2%
Sp Gijon
20.6%
Draw
17.2%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Sp Gijon
vs
0.96
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).