Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Ascoli
35.7%
Draw
32.6%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Ascoli
vs
0.90
Modena
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.526.4%
Over 3.510.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.2%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
13.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
2-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
0-3
2.0%
3-0
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).