Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Moreirense
24.0%
Draw
41.2%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Moreirense
vs
1.75
Estoril
Markets
BTTS66.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).