Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
QPR
26.9%
Draw
24.3%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
QPR
vs
1.05
Luton
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).