Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Torino
25.0%
Draw
34.1%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Torino
vs
1.31
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).