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Forfar

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AHT: 11CSV

26 Dec 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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5.0%
Forfar
18.4%
Draw
76.6%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

0.35

Forfar

vs
2.00

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS25.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
19.1%
0-1
18.7%
0-3
12.7%
0-0
10.0%
1-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-4
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
1-0
2.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-1
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).