Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Millwall
31.5%
Draw
38.6%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Millwall
vs
1.17
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).