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21 Mar 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.2%
Hull
19.1%
Draw
9.7%
Sheffield Wednesday

Expected Goals (xG)

2.23

Hull

vs
0.72

Sheffield Wednesday

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.1%
1-0
11.0%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).