Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.2%
Lecce
25.4%
Draw
59.4%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Lecce
vs
1.52
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.1%
0-2
13.6%
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
0-4
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).