Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Zaragoza
32.0%
Draw
22.6%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Zaragoza
vs
0.67
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.583.0%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
0-0
17.0%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).