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10 Aug 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.1%
Wrexham
26.7%
Draw
19.2%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Wrexham

vs
0.64

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS33.8%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.5%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).