Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Leyton Orient
26.8%
Draw
29.1%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Leyton Orient
vs
1.01
Swindon
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).