Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Portimonense
21.4%
Draw
59.5%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Portimonense
vs
1.86
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
3.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).