Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Torino
28.0%
Draw
29.2%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Torino
vs
0.98
Parma
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).