Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Hartberg
31.2%
Draw
35.3%
Salzburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Hartberg
vs
1.10
Salzburg
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).