Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.1%
Lens
8.8%
Draw
5.2%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
3.38
Lens
vs
0.77
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.6%
Over 2.578.2%
Over 3.559.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.2%
2-0
9.0%
4-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-0
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
5-1
4.5%
1-1
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).