Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.4%
Poltava
18.1%
Draw
69.5%
Karpaty
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Poltava
vs
2.34
Karpaty
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.0%
1-1
8.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).