Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.5%
Villarreal
5.5%
Draw
2.0%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
3.94
Villarreal
vs
0.57
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.582.8%
Over 3.565.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.2%
4-0
11.0%
5-0
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-1
5.0%
2-1
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
1-1
2.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).