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18 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
27.2%
Draw
35.5%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Milton Keynes Dons

vs
1.06

Coventry

Markets

BTTS42.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).