Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Malaga
25.5%
Draw
22.7%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Malaga
vs
0.92
Albacete
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).