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DHT: 11

12 Aug 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.1%
Rizespor
27.0%
Draw
45.9%
İstanbul Başakşehir

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Rizespor

vs
1.91

İstanbul Başakşehir

Markets

BTTS67.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
2-3
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
0-3
4.0%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).