Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Sporting Gijón
22.9%
Draw
22.2%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.06
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).