Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Hamburg
28.5%
Draw
48.8%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Hamburg
vs
1.46
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).